{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\n14013\Dropbox\PSRM\log.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res}14 Nov 2016, 14:14:34

{com}. ** Replication File for manuscript PSRM-OA-2016-0059 van Gruisen, P., Vangerven, P. and Crombez, C. 2016: 'Voting Behavior in the Council of the European Union: The Effect of the Trio Presidency'

. 
. ** Analysis conducted in STATA 13.

. 
. 
. 
. * Note: the variable 'extra' refers to additional data to test the lagged effect of the Trio Presidency and is only employed for Footnote 19. Accordingly it equals 0 in all other models tested. 

. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ********************************

. 
. *****************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Table 1

. 
. **

. 
. *****************************

. 
. ********************************

. 
. 
. 
. * Model A

. 
. probit Yes TrioPresidency if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2908.051}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2908.003}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -2908.003}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}1{txt}){col 67}= {res}     17.51
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -2908.003{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0032

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}           Yes{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
TrioPresidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2675634{col 28}{space 2} .0639334{col 39}{space 1}    4.19{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} .1422561{col 69}{space 3} .3928706
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.001148{col 28}{space 2} .0280298{col 39}{space 1}   71.39{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  1.94621{col 69}{space 3} 2.056085
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model B

. 
. probit Yes Presidency TrioPresidency if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2907.9903}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2907.9368}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2907.9368}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}2{txt}){col 67}= {res}     17.72
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2907.9368{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0032

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}           Yes{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}Presidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0495087{col 28}{space 2} .1355184{col 39}{space 1}    0.37{col 48}{space 3}0.715{col 56}{space 4}-.2161025{col 69}{space 3}   .31512
{txt}TrioPresidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .251651{col 28}{space 2} .0779382{col 39}{space 1}    3.23{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}  .098895{col 69}{space 3}  .404407
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.001148{col 28}{space 2} .0280298{col 39}{space 1}   71.39{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}  1.94621{col 69}{space 3} 2.056085
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model C

. 
. probit Yes Presidency TrioSemester1 TrioSemester2 TrioSemester3 if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2907.1218}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2906.9849}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2906.9846}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}4{txt}){col 67}= {res}     20.38
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0004
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2906.9846{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0036

{txt}{ralign 79:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27}    Robust
{col 1}          Yes{col 15}{c |}      Coef.{col 27}   Std. Err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% Con{col 68}f. Interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}Presidency {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0496427{col 27}{space 2} .1304088{col 38}{space 1}    0.38{col 47}{space 3}0.703{col 55}{space 4}-.2059539{col 68}{space 3} .3052393
{txt}TrioSemester1 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2}  .150531{col 27}{space 2} .1365659{col 38}{space 1}    1.10{col 47}{space 3}0.270{col 55}{space 4}-.1171332{col 68}{space 3} .4181952
{txt}TrioSemester2 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .2325718{col 27}{space 2} .0936892{col 38}{space 1}    2.48{col 47}{space 3}0.013{col 55}{space 4} .0489443{col 68}{space 3} .4161994
{txt}TrioSemester3 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .3671078{col 27}{space 2} .1270049{col 38}{space 1}    2.89{col 47}{space 3}0.004{col 55}{space 4} .1181829{col 68}{space 3} .6160328
{txt}{space 8}_cons {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 2.001148{col 27}{space 2} .0280298{col 38}{space 1}   71.39{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4}  1.94621{col 68}{space 3} 2.056085
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model D

. 
. probit Yes Presidency TrioSemester1 TrioSemester2 TrioSemester3 Newmember size_1 size_2 EU_support Receiver if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2851.8841}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.0837}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.0783}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.0783}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}9{txt}){col 67}= {res}    105.97
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2850.0783{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0231

{txt}{ralign 79:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 14}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 15}{c |}{col 27}    Robust
{col 1}          Yes{col 15}{c |}      Coef.{col 27}   Std. Err.{col 39}      z{col 47}   P>|z|{col 55}     [95% Con{col 68}f. Interval]
{hline 14}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}Presidency {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .0373878{col 27}{space 2} .1386853{col 38}{space 1}    0.27{col 47}{space 3}0.787{col 55}{space 4}-.2344304{col 68}{space 3}  .309206
{txt}TrioSemester1 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .1725973{col 27}{space 2} .1462176{col 38}{space 1}    1.18{col 47}{space 3}0.238{col 55}{space 4}-.1139839{col 68}{space 3} .4591785
{txt}TrioSemester2 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .2637765{col 27}{space 2}   .09235{col 38}{space 1}    2.86{col 47}{space 3}0.004{col 55}{space 4}  .082774{col 68}{space 3} .4447791
{txt}TrioSemester3 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .3892397{col 27}{space 2} .1266112{col 38}{space 1}    3.07{col 47}{space 3}0.002{col 55}{space 4} .1410862{col 68}{space 3} .6373931
{txt}{space 4}Newmember {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .1042722{col 27}{space 2} .0567978{col 38}{space 1}    1.84{col 47}{space 3}0.066{col 55}{space 4}-.0070494{col 68}{space 3} .2155938
{txt}{space 7}size_1 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .2564615{col 27}{space 2} .0471242{col 38}{space 1}    5.44{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} .1640997{col 68}{space 3} .3488232
{txt}{space 7}size_2 {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .1195932{col 27}{space 2} .0436008{col 38}{space 1}    2.74{col 47}{space 3}0.006{col 55}{space 4} .0341372{col 68}{space 3} .2050492
{txt}{space 3}EU_support {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .4327721{col 27}{space 2} .1524359{col 38}{space 1}    2.84{col 47}{space 3}0.005{col 55}{space 4} .1340032{col 68}{space 3}  .731541
{txt}{space 5}Receiver {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} .1327126{col 27}{space 2} .0493935{col 38}{space 1}    2.69{col 47}{space 3}0.007{col 55}{space 4}  .035903{col 68}{space 3} .2295222
{txt}{space 8}_cons {c |}{col 15}{res}{space 2} 1.529319{col 27}{space 2} .0817284{col 38}{space 1}   18.71{col 47}{space 3}0.000{col 55}{space 4} 1.369135{col 68}{space 3} 1.689504
{txt}{hline 14}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model E

. 
. probit Yes Presidency TrioSemester1 TrioSemester2 TrioSemester3 i.countrycode if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{txt}note: 4.countrycode != 0 predicts success perfectly
      4.countrycode dropped and 171 obs not used

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2913.6547}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2783.6934}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2769.0453}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2769.0164}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2769.0164}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     27956
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}30{txt}){col 67}= {res}    302.88
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2769.0164{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0496

{txt}{ralign 81:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 16}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 17}{c |}{col 29}    Robust
{col 1}            Yes{col 17}{c |}      Coef.{col 29}   Std. Err.{col 41}      z{col 49}   P>|z|{col 57}     [95% Con{col 70}f. Interval]
{hline 16}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}Presidency {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .0337563{col 29}{space 2}  .129685{col 40}{space 1}    0.26{col 49}{space 3}0.795{col 57}{space 4}-.2204215{col 70}{space 3} .2879341
{txt}{space 2}TrioSemester1 {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1468928{col 29}{space 2} .1448033{col 40}{space 1}    1.01{col 49}{space 3}0.310{col 57}{space 4}-.1369165{col 70}{space 3}  .430702
{txt}{space 2}TrioSemester2 {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2359329{col 29}{space 2} .0982542{col 40}{space 1}    2.40{col 49}{space 3}0.016{col 57}{space 4} .0433581{col 70}{space 3} .4285076
{txt}{space 2}TrioSemester3 {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3615024{col 29}{space 2} .1230093{col 40}{space 1}    2.94{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4} .1204087{col 70}{space 3} .6025961
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 4}countrycode {c |}
{space 7}Belgium  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4576079{col 29}{space 2} .1171927{col 40}{space 1}    3.90{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .2279144{col 70}{space 3} .6873015
{txt}{space 6}Bulgaria  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4093924{col 29}{space 2} .1121446{col 40}{space 1}    3.65{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .1895931{col 70}{space 3} .6291917
{txt}{space 7}Croatia  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}        0{col 29}{txt}  (empty)
{space 8}Cyprus  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7432715{col 29}{space 2} .1498001{col 40}{space 1}    4.96{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .4496687{col 70}{space 3} 1.036874
{txt}Czech Republic  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1718355{col 29}{space 2} .0921803{col 40}{space 1}    1.86{col 49}{space 3}0.062{col 57}{space 4}-.0088346{col 70}{space 3} .3525056
{txt}{space 7}Denmark  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}  .042645{col 29}{space 2} .0928521{col 40}{space 1}    0.46{col 49}{space 3}0.646{col 57}{space 4}-.1393418{col 70}{space 3} .2246318
{txt}{space 7}Estonia  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4093924{col 29}{space 2} .1100618{col 40}{space 1}    3.72{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .1936752{col 70}{space 3} .6251095
{txt}{space 7}Finland  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5687644{col 29}{space 2} .1254852{col 40}{space 1}    4.53{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  .322818{col 70}{space 3} .8147108
{txt}{space 8}France  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .7106238{col 29}{space 2} .1505552{col 40}{space 1}    4.72{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  .415541{col 70}{space 3} 1.005707
{txt}{space 7}Germany  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.0188743{col 29}{space 2} .0866339{col 40}{space 1}   -0.22{col 49}{space 3}0.828{col 57}{space 4}-.1886736{col 70}{space 3} .1509251
{txt}{space 8}Greece  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5547836{col 29}{space 2}  .128992{col 40}{space 1}    4.30{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .3019639{col 70}{space 3} .8076034
{txt}{space 7}Hungary  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3640504{col 29}{space 2} .1093164{col 40}{space 1}    3.33{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} .1497943{col 70}{space 3} .5783066
{txt}{space 7}Ireland  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3412992{col 29}{space 2} .1155721{col 40}{space 1}    2.95{col 49}{space 3}0.003{col 57}{space 4}  .114782{col 70}{space 3} .5678163
{txt}{space 9}Italy  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .3664527{col 29}{space 2} .1097554{col 40}{space 1}    3.34{col 49}{space 3}0.001{col 57}{space 4} .1513361{col 70}{space 3} .5815694
{txt}{space 8}Latvia  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5092215{col 29}{space 2} .1232302{col 40}{space 1}    4.13{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .2676949{col 70}{space 3} .7507482
{txt}{space 5}Lithuania  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .8456838{col 29}{space 2} .1658407{col 40}{space 1}    5.10{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  .520642{col 70}{space 3} 1.170726
{txt}{space 4}Luxembourg  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5380005{col 29}{space 2} .1153367{col 40}{space 1}    4.66{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .3119447{col 70}{space 3} .7640563
{txt}{space 9}Malta  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .4324114{col 29}{space 2} .1156255{col 40}{space 1}    3.74{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .2057896{col 70}{space 3} .6590332
{txt}{space 3}Netherlands  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1524284{col 29}{space 2} .0930922{col 40}{space 1}    1.64{col 49}{space 3}0.102{col 57}{space 4}-.0300291{col 70}{space 3} .3348858
{txt}{space 8}Poland  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2116567{col 29}{space 2} .1028336{col 40}{space 1}    2.06{col 49}{space 3}0.040{col 57}{space 4} .0101066{col 70}{space 3} .4132068
{txt}{space 6}Portugal  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2783058{col 29}{space 2} .1029878{col 40}{space 1}    2.70{col 49}{space 3}0.007{col 57}{space 4} .0764534{col 70}{space 3} .4801583
{txt}{space 7}Romania  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .6372899{col 29}{space 2} .1255022{col 40}{space 1}    5.08{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .3913101{col 70}{space 3} .8832696
{txt}{space 6}Slovakia  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5380005{col 29}{space 2} .1230423{col 40}{space 1}    4.37{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}  .296842{col 70}{space 3}  .779159
{txt}{space 6}Slovenia  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .5925951{col 29}{space 2} .1259347{col 40}{space 1}    4.71{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} .3457676{col 70}{space 3} .8394226
{txt}{space 9}Spain  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .2651227{col 29}{space 2} .1065864{col 40}{space 1}    2.49{col 49}{space 3}0.013{col 57}{space 4} .0562172{col 70}{space 3} .4740282
{txt}{space 8}Sweden  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} .1788649{col 29}{space 2} .0989876{col 40}{space 1}    1.81{col 49}{space 3}0.071{col 57}{space 4}-.0151472{col 70}{space 3}  .372877
{txt}United Kingdom  {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2}-.3453433{col 29}{space 2} .0851241{col 40}{space 1}   -4.06{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4}-.5121834{col 70}{space 3}-.1785032
{txt}{space 15} {c |}
{space 10}_cons {c |}{col 17}{res}{space 2} 1.702659{col 29}{space 2} .0682587{col 40}{space 1}   24.94{col 49}{space 3}0.000{col 57}{space 4} 1.568874{col 70}{space 3} 1.836443
{txt}{hline 16}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******************************************

. 
. *************************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Figure 1 

. 
. **

. 
. *************************************

. 
. ******************************************

. 
. 
. 
. probit Yes i.TrioTime Newmember size_1 size_2 EU_support Receiver if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2851.9015}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.1203}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.1153}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-2850.1153}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}    105.35
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-2850.1153{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0231

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}         Yes{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}TrioTime {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1856592{col 26}{space 2} .1236986{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-.0567856{col 67}{space 3} .4281039
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2760477{col 26}{space 2} .1068371{col 37}{space 1}    2.58{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} .0666508{col 67}{space 3} .4854445
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3997391{col 26}{space 2} .1133335{col 37}{space 1}    3.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1776095{col 67}{space 3} .6218688
{txt}{space 12} {c |}
{space 3}Newmember {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1042996{col 26}{space 2} .0568056{col 37}{space 1}    1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.066{col 54}{space 4}-.0070374{col 67}{space 3} .2156365
{txt}{space 6}size_1 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2564224{col 26}{space 2} .0470838{col 37}{space 1}    5.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1641399{col 67}{space 3} .3487049
{txt}{space 6}size_2 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1195082{col 26}{space 2} .0435776{col 37}{space 1}    2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0340976{col 67}{space 3} .2049188
{txt}{space 2}EU_support {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4323991{col 26}{space 2}  .152468{col 37}{space 1}    2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .1335672{col 67}{space 3}  .731231
{txt}{space 4}Receiver {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1328695{col 26}{space 2} .0493822{col 37}{space 1}    2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .0360822{col 67}{space 3} .2296568
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.529472{col 26}{space 2} .0817193{col 37}{space 1}   18.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.369305{col 67}{space 3} 1.689639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. margins, at (TrioTime=(0 1 2 3)) atmeans
{res}
{txt}Adjusted predictions{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}Model VCE{col 14}: {res}Robust

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:Expression}:{space 1}{res:Pr(Yes), predict()}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:1._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:TrioTime}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}0}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Newmember}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.4487503 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_1}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.4103886 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_2}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.3688982 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:EU_support}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.5267181 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Receiver}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 4}.580652 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:2._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:TrioTime}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}1}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Newmember}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.4487503 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_1}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.4103886 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_2}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.3688982 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:EU_support}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.5267181 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Receiver}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 4}.580652 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:3._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:TrioTime}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}2}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Newmember}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.4487503 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_1}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.4103886 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_2}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.3688982 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:EU_support}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.5267181 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Receiver}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 4}.580652 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col:4._at}:{space 1}{res:{txt:TrioTime}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 10}3}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Newmember}{space 7}{txt:=} {space 3}.4487503 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_1}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.4103886 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:size_2}{space 10}{txt:=} {space 3}.3688982 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:EU_support}{space 6}{txt:=} {space 3}.5267181 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}
{txt}{p2colset 1 14 16 2}{...}
{p2col: }{space 2}{res:{txt:Receiver}{space 8}{txt:=} {space 4}.580652 {txt:(mean)}}{p_end}
{p2colreset}{...}

{res}{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26} Delta-method
{col 14}{c |}     Margin{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}_at {c |}
{space 10}1  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9788471{col 26}{space 2} .0015491{col 37}{space 1}  631.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9758109{col 67}{space 3} .9818832
{txt}{space 10}2  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9866597{col 26}{space 2} .0042851{col 37}{space 1}  230.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9782609{col 67}{space 3} .9950584
{txt}{space 10}3  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9894599{col 26}{space 2} .0030322{col 37}{space 1}  326.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9835169{col 67}{space 3}  .995403
{txt}{space 10}4  {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9924555{col 26}{space 2} .0024305{col 37}{space 1}  408.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .9876919{col 67}{space 3} .9972192
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}
{com}. 
. marginsplot, recast(line) recastci(rarea)

{text}{p 2 6 2}Variables that uniquely identify margins: TrioTime{p_end}
{res}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *****************************************

. 
. ************************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Table 2

. 
. **

. 
. ************************************

. 
. *****************************************

. 
. 
. 
. codebook VoteChoice

{txt}{hline}
{res}VoteChoice{right:yes, abstain or against}
{txt}{hline}

{col 19}type:  numeric ({res}byte{txt})
{ralign 22:label}:  {res:vote_choice_label}

{col 18}range:  [{res}0{txt},{res}2{txt}]{col 55}units:  {res}1
{col 10}{txt}unique values:  {res}3{col 51}{txt}missing .:  {res}897{txt}/{res}29023

{txt}{col 13}tabulation:  Freq.   Numeric  Label
{col 24}{res}  27522{col 33}       0{col 43}{txt}yes
{col 24}{res}    311{col 33}       1{col 43}{txt}abstain
{col 24}{res}    293{col 33}       2{col 43}{txt}no
{col 24}{res}    897{col 33}       .{col 43}

{com}. 
. oprobit VoteChoice Presidency TrioPresidency Newmember size_1 size_2 EU_support Receiver if extra==0, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3335.7491}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3269.9103}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3268.3102}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3268.3083}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3268.3083}  
{res}
{txt}Ordered probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28126
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}7{txt}){col 67}= {res}    104.27
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-3268.3083{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0202

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1038} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}    VoteChoice{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}Presidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0300062{col 28}{space 2} .1374784{col 39}{space 1}   -0.22{col 48}{space 3}0.827{col 56}{space 4}-.2994589{col 69}{space 3} .2394464
{txt}TrioPresidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2742563{col 28}{space 2} .0791402{col 39}{space 1}   -3.47{col 48}{space 3}0.001{col 56}{space 4}-.4293683{col 69}{space 3}-.1191443
{txt}{space 5}Newmember {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0974339{col 28}{space 2} .0561827{col 39}{space 1}   -1.73{col 48}{space 3}0.083{col 56}{space 4}  -.20755{col 69}{space 3} .0126821
{txt}{space 8}size_1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.2498036{col 28}{space 2} .0471015{col 39}{space 1}   -5.30{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4}-.3421208{col 69}{space 3}-.1574865
{txt}{space 8}size_2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1107818{col 28}{space 2} .0432781{col 39}{space 1}   -2.56{col 48}{space 3}0.010{col 56}{space 4}-.1956053{col 69}{space 3}-.0259582
{txt}{space 4}EU_support {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.4014775{col 28}{space 2} .1501236{col 39}{space 1}   -2.67{col 48}{space 3}0.007{col 56}{space 4}-.6957143{col 69}{space 3}-.1072407
{txt}{space 6}Receiver {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.1507149{col 28}{space 2} .0495584{col 39}{space 1}   -3.04{col 48}{space 3}0.002{col 56}{space 4}-.2478476{col 69}{space 3}-.0535821
{txt}{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
         /cut1 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.545014{col 28}{space 2} .0799412{col 56}{space 4} 1.388333{col 69}{space 3} 1.701696
{txt}         /cut2 {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.837486{col 28}{space 2} .0815287{col 56}{space 4} 1.677692{col 69}{space 3} 1.997279
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. describe VoteChoice

              {txt}storage   display    value
variable name   type    format     label      variable label
{hline}
{p 0 48}{res}{bind:VoteChoice     }{txt}{bind: byte    }{bind:{txt}%8.0g     }{space 1}{txt}vote_choice_label{p_end}
{p 0 48}{space 44}{bind:  }{res}{res}yes, abstain or against{p_end}

{com}. 
. tabulate VoteChoice

       {txt}yes, {c |}
 abstain or {c |}
    against {c |}      Freq.     Percent        Cum.
{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
        yes {c |}{res}     27,522       97.85       97.85
{txt}    abstain {c |}{res}        311        1.11       98.96
{txt}         no {c |}{res}        293        1.04      100.00
{txt}{hline 12}{c +}{hline 35}
      Total {c |}{res}     28,126      100.00

{com}. 
. mfx, predict (outcome(0))

{txt}Marginal effects after oprobit
      y  = Pr(VoteChoice==0) (predict, outcome(0))
         = {res} .98041274
{txt}{hline 9}{c TT}{hline 68}
variable {c |}{col 17}dy/dx{col 26}Std. Err.{col 40}z{col 45}P>|z|{col 52}[    95% C.I.   ]{col 75}X
{hline 9}{c +}{hline 68}
Presid~y*{c |}  {res} .0013871      .00617    0.22   0.822  -.010701  .013475   .036692
{txt}TrioPr~y*{c |}  {res} .0105242      .00246    4.27   0.000   .005696  .015353   .109934
{txt}Newmem~r*{c |}  {res} .0045932       .0026    1.76   0.078  -.000509  .009695   .448731
  {txt}size_1*{c |}  {res} .0114426      .00198    5.77   0.000   .007557  .015328   .410403
  {txt}size_2*{c |}  {res} .0051223      .00188    2.72   0.006   .001436  .008809   .368876
{txt}EU_sup~t {c |}  {res} .0190978      .00716    2.67   0.008   .005061  .033134    .52672
{txt}Receiver*{c |}  {res}  .007373      .00253    2.91   0.004   .002412  .012334   .580637
{txt}{hline 9}{c BT}{hline 68}
(*) dy/dx is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1

{com}. 
. mfx, predict (outcome(1))

{txt}Marginal effects after oprobit
      y  = Pr(VoteChoice==1) (predict, outcome(1))
         = {res} .01032142
{txt}{hline 9}{c TT}{hline 68}
variable {c |}{col 17}dy/dx{col 26}Std. Err.{col 40}z{col 45}P>|z|{col 52}[    95% C.I.   ]{col 75}X
{hline 9}{c +}{hline 68}
Presid~y*{c |}  {res}-.0006629      .00297   -0.22   0.823  -.006479  .005153   .036692
{txt}TrioPr~y*{c |}  {res}-.0051551      .00121   -4.25   0.000  -.007531 -.002779   .109934
{txt}Newmem~r*{c |}  {res}-.0021879      .00125   -1.75   0.081  -.004643  .000268   .448731
  {txt}size_1*{c |}  {res}-.0054638      .00102   -5.34   0.000  -.007469 -.003458   .410403
  {txt}size_2*{c |}  {res} -.002447      .00094   -2.61   0.009  -.004284  -.00061   .368876
{txt}EU_sup~t {c |}  {res}-.0090874      .00345   -2.63   0.008  -.015848 -.002327    .52672
{txt}Receiver*{c |}  {res}-.0034899      .00116   -3.00   0.003   -.00577  -.00121   .580637
{txt}{hline 9}{c BT}{hline 68}
(*) dy/dx is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1

{com}. 
. mfx, predict (outcome(2))

{txt}Marginal effects after oprobit
      y  = Pr(VoteChoice==2) (predict, outcome(2))
         = {res} .00926584
{txt}{hline 9}{c TT}{hline 68}
variable {c |}{col 17}dy/dx{col 26}Std. Err.{col 40}z{col 45}P>|z|{col 52}[    95% C.I.   ]{col 75}X
{hline 9}{c +}{hline 68}
Presid~y*{c |}  {res}-.0007241       .0032   -0.23   0.821  -.006997  .005549   .036692
{txt}TrioPr~y*{c |}  {res} -.005369       .0013   -4.12   0.000  -.007926 -.002812   .109934
{txt}Newmem~r*{c |}  {res}-.0024053      .00136   -1.77   0.077  -.005071   .00026   .448731
  {txt}size_1*{c |}  {res}-.0059788      .00104   -5.77   0.000   -.00801 -.003948   .410403
  {txt}size_2*{c |}  {res}-.0026753      .00096   -2.79   0.005  -.004556 -.000794   .368876
{txt}EU_sup~t {c |}  {res}-.0100104      .00378   -2.65   0.008  -.017419 -.002601    .52672
{txt}Receiver*{c |}  {res}-.0038831      .00139   -2.79   0.005  -.006612 -.001155   .580637
{txt}{hline 9}{c BT}{hline 68}
(*) dy/dx is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ****************************************

. 
. **********************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Table A1

. 
. **

. 
. **********************************

. 
. ****************************************

. 
. 
. 
. sum Yes Presidency TrioPresidency TrioSemester1 TrioSemester2 TrioSemester3 Newmember size_1 size_2 EU_support Receiver if extra==0

{txt}    Variable {c |}       Obs        Mean    Std. Dev.       Min        Max
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
{space 9}Yes {c |}{res}     28127     .978526    .1449608          0          1
{txt}{space 2}Presidency {c |}{res}     28127    .0366907    .1880047          0          1
{txt}TrioPresid~y {c |}{res}     28127      .10993     .312808          0          1
{txt}TrioSemest~1 {c |}{res}     28127    .0305045    .1719739          0          1
{txt}TrioSemest~2 {c |}{res}     28127    .0380062    .1912146          0          1
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
TrioSemest~3 {c |}{res}     28127    .0414193    .1992615          0          1
{txt}{space 3}Newmember {c |}{res}     28127    .4487503    .4973754          0          1
{txt}{space 6}size_1 {c |}{res}     28127    .4103886     .491913          0          1
{txt}{space 6}size_2 {c |}{res}     28127    .3688982    .4825149          0          1
{txt}{space 2}EU_support {c |}{res}     28127    .5267181    .1200304        .27        .76
{txt}{hline 13}{c +}{hline 56}
{space 4}Receiver {c |}{res}     28127     .580652    .4934611          0          1

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ****************************************

. 
. ***********************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Table A2

. 
. **

. 
. ***********************************

. 
. ****************************************

. 
. 
. 
. corr Presidency TrioPresidency TrioSemester1 TrioSemester2 TrioSemester3 Newmember size_1 size_2 EU_support Receiver if extra==0
{txt}(obs=28127)

             {c |} Presid~y TrioPr~y TrioSe~1 TrioSe~2 TrioSe~3 Newmem~r   size_1   size_2 EU_sup~t Receiver
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 90}
  Presidency {c |}{res}   1.0000
{txt}TrioPresid~y {c |}{res}   0.5553   1.0000
{txt}TrioSemest~1 {c |}{res}   0.2777   0.5047   1.0000
{txt}TrioSemest~2 {c |}{res}   0.3143   0.5656  -0.0353   1.0000
{txt}TrioSemest~3 {c |}{res}   0.3305   0.5915  -0.0369  -0.0413   1.0000
   {txt}Newmember {c |}{res}   0.0015  -0.0454  -0.0129  -0.0305  -0.0308   1.0000
      {txt}size_1 {c |}{res}  -0.0425  -0.0746  -0.0387  -0.0577  -0.0283   0.3278   1.0000
      {txt}size_2 {c |}{res}   0.0362   0.0430   0.0152   0.0399   0.0160  -0.0751  -0.6378   1.0000
  {txt}EU_support {c |}{res}  -0.0232   0.0025   0.0010   0.0067  -0.0034  -0.2030   0.1224  -0.0769   1.0000
    {txt}Receiver {c |}{res}   0.0191   0.0008  -0.0202  -0.0022   0.0208   0.6910   0.1621   0.0632  -0.0857   1.0000


{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ****************************************

. 
. ***********************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Table A3

. 
. **

. 
. ***********************************

. 
. ****************************************

. 
. 
. 
. * Model A.

. 
. probit Yes TrioFakeSix FormTrioSix Presidency if extra==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res: -2909.199}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2909.1113}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2909.1112}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}3{txt}){col 67}= {res}     16.53
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0009
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-2909.1112{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0028

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}         Yes{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 1}TrioFakeSix {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1683105{col 26}{space 2}  .098048{col 37}{space 1}   -1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.086{col 54}{space 4}-.3604811{col 67}{space 3} .0238601
{txt}{space 1}FormTrioSix {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4276777{col 26}{space 2}  .146289{col 37}{space 1}    2.92{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .1409565{col 67}{space 3} .7143989
{txt}{space 2}Presidency {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4275617{col 26}{space 2} .1400158{col 37}{space 1}    3.05{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .1531358{col 67}{space 3} .7019876
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.012792{col 26}{space 2} .0174633{col 37}{space 1}  115.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.978564{col 67}{space 3} 2.047019
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. * Model B.

. 
. probit Yes TrioFakeTwelve FormTrioTwelve Presidency if extra==0

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2917.3782}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2908.9104}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2908.8567}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log likelihood = {res:-2908.8567}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     28127
{txt}{col 51}LR chi2({res}3{txt}){col 67}= {res}     17.04
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0007
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-2908.8567{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0029

{txt}{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}           Yes{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
TrioFakeTwelve {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}  .196595{col 28}{space 2} .1140554{col 39}{space 1}    1.72{col 48}{space 3}0.085{col 56}{space 4}-.0269495{col 69}{space 3} .4201394
{txt}FormTrioTwelve {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0647799{col 28}{space 2} .1547071{col 39}{space 1}    0.42{col 48}{space 3}0.675{col 56}{space 4}-.2384404{col 69}{space 3} .3680001
{txt}{space 4}Presidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1241218{col 28}{space 2} .1504161{col 39}{space 1}    0.83{col 48}{space 3}0.409{col 56}{space 4}-.1706883{col 69}{space 3}  .418932
{txt}{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 2.003353{col 28}{space 2} .0174158{col 39}{space 1}  115.03{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.969218{col 69}{space 3} 2.037487
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***********************************

. 
. *****************************

. 
. **

. 
. **Footnote 19

. 
. **

. 
. *****************************

. 
. ***********************************

. 
. 
. 
. probit Yes Presidency i.TrioTimeLagged, vce(cluster Text_adopted)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3058.9104}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3045.2186}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-3045.0233}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3045.023}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -3045.023}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}     29023
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}6{txt}){col 67}= {res}     27.94
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0001
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res} -3045.023{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.0045

{txt}{ralign 80:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:1070} clusters in Text_adopted)}
{hline 15}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 16}{c |}{col 28}    Robust
{col 1}           Yes{col 16}{c |}      Coef.{col 28}   Std. Err.{col 40}      z{col 48}   P>|z|{col 56}     [95% Con{col 69}f. Interval]
{hline 15}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}Presidency {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .0789937{col 28}{space 2} .1255226{col 39}{space 1}    0.63{col 48}{space 3}0.529{col 56}{space 4} -.167026{col 69}{space 3} .3250133
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
TrioTimeLagged {c |}
{space 12}1  {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .1542629{col 28}{space 2} .1350943{col 39}{space 1}    1.14{col 48}{space 3}0.253{col 56}{space 4}-.1105171{col 69}{space 3} .4190428
{txt}{space 12}2  {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2340389{col 28}{space 2} .0929037{col 39}{space 1}    2.52{col 48}{space 3}0.012{col 56}{space 4}  .051951{col 69}{space 3} .4161267
{txt}{space 12}3  {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .3706585{col 28}{space 2} .1249483{col 39}{space 1}    2.97{col 48}{space 3}0.003{col 56}{space 4} .1257643{col 69}{space 3} .6155526
{txt}{space 12}4  {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} .2501875{col 28}{space 2} .1157685{col 39}{space 1}    2.16{col 48}{space 3}0.031{col 56}{space 4} .0232855{col 69}{space 3} .4770895
{txt}{space 12}5  {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2}-.0692722{col 28}{space 2} .0929309{col 39}{space 1}   -0.75{col 48}{space 3}0.456{col 56}{space 4}-.2514135{col 69}{space 3}  .112869
{txt}{space 14} {c |}
{space 9}_cons {c |}{col 16}{res}{space 2} 1.989278{col 28}{space 2} .0275234{col 39}{space 1}   72.28{col 48}{space 3}0.000{col 56}{space 4} 1.935333{col 69}{space 3} 2.043223
{txt}{hline 15}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}C:\Users\n14013\Dropbox\PSRM\log.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res}14 Nov 2016, 14:31:41
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}